Manages Parisian Family Office. Began Wall Street, 82. Founded investment firm, Native American Advisors. Member, White Earth Chippewa Tribe. Was NYSE/FINRA arb. Conservative. Raised on Native reservations. Pureblood, clot-shot free. In a world elevated on a tech-driven dopamine binge, he trades from Ghost Ranch on the Yellowstone River in MT, his TN farm, Pamelot or CASA TULE', his winter camp in Los Cabos, Mexico. Always been, and will always be, an optimist.

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

HERTZ

If this doesn't wake people up to the unreality of the stock 'market', nothing will. Hertz has ripped higher 8 days in a row, surging over 18% in that period as analysts and talking heads piled on proclaiming how wonderful it is.. and then:

*HERTZ HAS DECIDED TO WITHDRAW 2014 FINANCIAL GUIDANCE

*HERTZ EXPECTS TO BE WELL BELOW LOW END OF 2014 GUIDANCE

Today the S&P futures traded the lowest volume of the year today (for a non-holiday trading day) and volume has slid consistently lower as this rally of the last 8 days. The S&P outperformed today (up over 0.5%) as yesterday's oil-is-falling-so-buy-Trannies meme reversed into oil-is-falling-so-sell-Trannies which ended the day almost unchanged. The Nasdaq made new 14-year highs, up 5 days in a row. Treasury yields dropped notably early on then surged higher as US stocks opened (30Y +8bps on the week).  Commodities in general were clubbed like baby seals with copper, silver, and WTI hammered (but not Brent) after the inflation/housing data leaving oil under $95 - its lowest in 7 months. Gold fell much more modestly (but ended below $1300).

AAPL closes at all-time high.

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